38 Parties Enter Israel's Next Vote
Voters face a complex calculation involving a 3.25% threshold and uncertain coalition math in the 26th Knesset election.
By Daniel Rogers ·

Thirty-eight parties are registered to contest the upcoming 26th election for the Israeli Knesset. The sheer number of contenders complicates the voting process for citizens who must choose between many options rather than two main candidates. This structure distinguishes the Israeli parliamentary system from the two-party dynamic common in American elections.
The entire country functions as a single district in this multiparty system. Voters cast a ballot for a political party rather than selecting a specific individual to represent their local area. A party must secure at least 3.25% of the total national vote to enter the legislature. Many of the 38 registered groups have little chance of meeting this hurdle, which reduces their potential impact on the final government composition.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains the central figure in this election. He is currently the most experienced leader in the race, though few challengers are viewed as having a strong chance to replace him. Gadi Eisenkot leads the new Yashar party on the left. On the right, Naftali Bennett is a potential candidate, although his earlier coalition with Arab parties complicates his standing among right-wing voters.
A Channel 12 survey cited in The Jerusalem Post last week found that 23% of Israelis might emigrate if Netanyahu wins a fourth term. Brian Blum, writing for that outlet, noted that while he plans to stay, his children and professional colleagues might leave. This potential brain drain adds pressure on voters who weigh long-term stability against immediate political preferences.
The outcome depends heavily on coalition arithmetic. If Likud does not secure a clear mandate over the Yashar party, the right-wing bloc may lose power. This could lead to a government that alters Shabbat traffic rules in Jerusalem, shifts marriage to a civil framework, and changes the status of Judea and Samaria. Right-leaning voters see these changes as critical red lines that must be avoided.
President Isaac Herzog holds a ceremonial role but possesses a key technical power in this system. He can assign the mandate to form a government to the party leader he believes has the best chance of success, even if that party did not win the most seats. This adds a layer of negotiation and uncertainty to the final result.
Voters for smaller right-wing parties face a specific risk. They must hope that Likud receives enough votes to anchor the right-side coalition. Candidates such as those from the Religious Zionist Party, Otzma Yehudit, or the Haredi Public Party rely on this alignment. If the right-wing bloc fractures, the left may gain the mandate to form a government despite having fewer individual votes.
Source: The Jewish Press





